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Politics
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$9.4M vol.
15%
Yes86%
No
Fed Decision in September?
$48.9M vol.
68%
No change32%
25 bps increase
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$692.1M vol.
23%
JD Vance14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Gavin Newsom
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
$3.5M vol.
39%
300-31937%
320-339
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$2.4M vol.
100%
August 2299%
August 25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$19.2M vol.
73%
December 3153%
October 31
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$690.6M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance20%
Marco Rubio
Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
$567.7K vol.
83%
40-6416%
<40
Next French Presidential Election
$121.2M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard Philippe
Trump out as President before 2027?
$11.1M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$23.1M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$21.7M vol.
70%
United Russia (ER)24%
New People (NL)
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$10M vol.
65%
March 31, 202752%
December 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$5.3M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$656.1K vol.
20%
220-23920%
200-219
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$9M vol.
34%
Yes67%
No
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$59.4M vol.
17%
Yes84%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$21.5M vol.
14%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.3M vol.
48%
Democrats Sweep39%
R Senate, D House
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$32.9M vol.
58%
Gadi Eizenkot27%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$3.9M vol.
92%
Magdalena Andersson9%
Ulf Kristersson
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
$419.1K vol.
95%
Eduardo Paes5%
Douglas Ruas
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
$70.7K vol.
14%
200-21914%
220-239
