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Politics
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$306.6M vol.
84%
December 3180%
October 31
Fed Decision in June?
$92.6M vol.
100%
No change<1%
25 bps decrease
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$54.9M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$98.6M vol.
27%
Jordan Bardella21%
Édouard Philippe
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
$32.8M vol.
85%
July 3177%
June 30
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$626.5M vol.
15%
JD Vance15%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.1B vol.
23%
Gavin Newsom9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?
$2.8M vol.
31%
180-19925%
200-219
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$8.8M vol.
68%
Yes33%
No
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
$7.2M vol.
100%
June 30<1%
May 15
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$9.3M vol.
33%
Pakistan33%
No Meeting by June 30
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
$1.2M vol.
17%
180-19916%
200-219
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$656.8M vol.
33%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco Rubio
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$4.8M vol.
55%
Yes46%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$15.3M vol.
36%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
Gadi Eizenkot
Makerfield by-election Winner
$4.5M vol.
76%
Andy Burnham25%
Robert Kenyon
Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?
$229.3K vol.
20%
200-21918%
180-199
Colombia Presidential Election
$36.8M vol.
87%
Abelardo de la Espriella13%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Iran leader end of 2026?
$14.7M vol.
79%
Mojtaba Khamenei6%
Reza Pahlavi
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$10.9M vol.
59%
United Russia (ER)34%
New People (NL)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$1.4M vol.
86%
Yes15%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$14.9M vol.
35%
December 319%
July 31
Fed Decision in July?
$9.5M vol.
93%
No change4%
25 bps increase
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$36.7M vol.
17%
Yes84%
No
