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Politica
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Fed Decision in September?
$47.5M vol.
69%
No change31%
25 bps increaseElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
$2.6M vol.
24%
320-33922%
340-359Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Gavin NewsomUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$1.7M vol.
100%
August 2298%
August 25Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$690M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance21%
Marco RubioPresidential Election Winner 2028
$691.1M vol.
22%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$18.3M vol.
69%
December 3144%
October 31NATO downs another Russian drone by...?
$490.9K vol.
100%
August 31<1%
July 31Iran leadership change by...?
$23.9M vol.
25%
June 30, 202716%
December 31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
25%
Yes76%
NoWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$21.5M vol.
70%
United Russia (ER)24%
New People (NL)Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$471.9K vol.
14%
260-27914%
240-259Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
$153.3K vol.
51%
40-6423%
65-89Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$22.9M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$11M vol.
18%
December 3113%
October 31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$5.2M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.3M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30Next French Presidential Election
$120.9M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard PhilippeNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$9.8M vol.
67%
March 31, 202750%
December 31, 2026Maine Senate Election Winner
$1.2M vol.
71%
Troy Jackson (D)31%
Susan Collins (R)Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$8.8M vol.
30%
Yes72%
NoWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
$598.1K vol.
59%
No meeting by December 3139%
ChinaPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$32.8M vol.
57%
Gadi Eizenkot30%
Benjamin NetanyahuNext Prime Minister of Sweden
$3.8M vol.
90%
Magdalena Andersson9%
Ulf Kristersson