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Science
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.3M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$154.4K vol.
98%
October 3193%
September 30Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.5M vol.
55%
SpaceX45%
AnthropicHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
$18.6K vol.
85%
115%
2Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
75%
125%
2Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k95%
↑3.5kHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$4.6K vol.
50%
80-9927%
100–119Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$3K vol.
12%
December 31, 20268%
October 31, 202610.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$808.3K vol.
2%
Yes99%
NoWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$1.8K vol.
49%
December 31, 202846%
December 31, 2027Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$7.5K vol.
79%
<425mm27%
475-500mmAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$3K vol.
49%
1.42–1.45ºC48%
1.38–1.41ºCHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$781 vol.
30%
35 to 4943%
Fewer than 20New pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
$1.8K vol.
95%
October 31, 202688%
September 30, 2026Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
$2.3K vol.
75%
7.9 or below11%
8.2 – 8.3Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
$38.8K vol.
88%
Yes13%
NoNatural Disaster in 2026?
$241.2K vol.
27%
Yes75%
NoWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$7.9K vol.
8%
Yes94%
NoWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$340.6K vol.
18%
Yes85%
NoNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
$23.3K vol.
5%
Yes96%
NoWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$139.4K vol.
17%
Yes87%
NoRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
$11.2K vol.
10%
Yes92%
NoPrecipitation in NYC in August?
$2.4K vol.
98%
>6"7%
5-6"