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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$28.5M vol.
84%
No change16%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$2.7M vol.
75%
25 bps increase24%
No changeFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.9M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$941.3K vol.
72%
5.4%46%
5.5%Fed Decision in January?
$278.1K vol.
65%
No change32%
25 bps increaseHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$193.5K vol.
90%
5.70%66%
5.80%What will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$55K vol.
22%
Below 5.20%18%
Below 5.15%Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$582.6K vol.
79%
Yes23%
NoNo change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$239.6K vol.
60%
Hike–Pause–Hike24%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$12.3K vol.
56%
4.90%56%
5.00%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$75.4K vol.
84%
5.10%45%
5.25%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$12.5K vol.
83%
5.32%68%
5.35%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$24.5K vol.
40%
029%
1How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$10.9K vol.
78%
Below 4.70%58%
Below 4.60%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting50%
June 2027 MeetingHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$9.2K vol.
97%
5.70%97%
5.73%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$75.7K vol.
19%
Below 4.50%13%
Below 4.45%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$6.6K vol.
97%
4.89%97%
4.86%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$9K vol.
82%
5.08%73%
5.11%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
$5.4K vol.
96%
Below 5.52%87%
Below 5.55%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$13.8K vol.
34%
032%
2