Politics

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$786.8K vol.يناير 1, 2027
U.S. nuclear test by...? card icon

الاحتمالات المباشرة والنسبة الاحتمالية لـ U.S. nuclear test by...?. توقَّع النتائج على Bitget Wallet.

النتائج

December 31, 2026

$68.7K Vol.

September 30, 2026

$57.3K Vol.

November 30

$193.1K Vol.

December 31

$100.9K Vol.

March 31, 2026

$316.1K Vol.

June 30, 2026

$50.5K Vol.

حول هذا السوق

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
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